cotton-intelligence-platform
Janvi shahI want to build this system
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System Requirements
Cotton Intelligence Platform
Introduction
The Cotton Intelligence Platform is designed to provide a comprehensive, AI-driven dashboard that consolidates global market data, crop intelligence, speculative positioning, macro-economic signals, and Indian domestic data. This platform aims to support informed, data-backed cotton sourcing decisions.
System Overview
The platform ingests data from over 15 live, automated data pipelines, covering sources such as ICE futures, USDA WASDE, CFTC Commitment of Traders, Cotlook, NOAA weather, USDA NASS crop progress, ICAC, CAI India, DXY, WTI crude oil, PSF prices, and competing crop markets. It features a production-grade price forecasting model generating a 365-day daily forecast for ICE Cotton No. 2 futures (CT1).
Functional Requirements
- As a User, I should see all data pipelines fully automated with zero manual intervention.
- As a User, I should have ICE CT1 daily price ingested and forecast refreshed automatically within 30 minutes.
- As a User, I should access a 365-day daily price forecast with confidence bands.
- As a User, I should see WASDE data auto-ingested on release day with country-wise MoM delta.
- As a User, I should view a country-wise ending stocks panel for 7 major countries.
- As a User, I should see Cotlook StOU displayed on a rolling 6-month window.
- As a User, I should access a 15-day rainfall forecast by growing region.
- As a User, I should have an India module with weekly CAI data.
- As a User, I should see a full CFTC COT disaggregated table with 4 trader categories.
- As a User, I should access PSF price series, Cotton/PSF ratio, and a 3-line normalized comparison chart.
- As a User, I should see a competing crops module with USA price index and India kharif dashboard.
- As a User, I should access a backtest module with direction accuracy and rolling MAE.
- As a User, I should see scenario price paths for 4 time horizons.
- As a User, I should receive pipeline failure alerts within 15 minutes of any SLA breach.
- As a User, I should see the October–January buying window highlighted on the forecast dashboard.
User Personas
- Admin: Manages data pipelines, oversees system performance, and handles user access.
- User: Utilizes the platform for market analysis and decision-making in cotton procurement.
Visuals Colors and Theme
- layout: Ensure ample white space for a clean and elegant design, with primary green as the dominant color, reflecting the brand's logo.
- primary: #2A9D8F
- primary_light: #A8DADC
- secondary: #E76F51
- accent: #F4A261
- highlight: #E9C46A
- bg: #F1FAEE
- surface: rgba(233, 245, 248, 0.8)
- text: #264653
- text_muted: #6D6875
- border: rgba(38, 70, 83, 0.2)
Signature Design Concept
Interactive Cotton Market Map: The homepage features an interactive map of global cotton markets. Users can click on different regions to view detailed market data, forecasts, and trends. Hovering over regions highlights key statistics and recent changes. The map is animated with subtle transitions using framer-motion for a dynamic experience.
Interaction Model & Motion Direction
- Interaction Model: Parallax
- Motion Direction: Layered depth via scroll with interactive map elements and hover transitions.
Non-Functional Requirements
- Performance: Dashboard page load < 3 seconds. API response < 500ms.
- Data Freshness SLAs: ICE price within 30 min of EOD settle. WASDE within 2 hours of USDA release.
- Availability: 99.5% uptime SLA.
- Security: HTTPS enforced, role-based access control.
- Scalability: Backend on ECS Fargate with auto-scaling.
- Observability: CloudWatch dashboards for all metrics.
Tech Stack
- Frontend: React for Web
- Backend: Python, FastAPI
- Database: MySQL
- AI Models: Prophet + LSTM ensemble
- Orchestration: Docker, Kubernetes
Assumptions and Constraints
- Access to CAI India data is confirmed.
- PSF price data sourced from ICIS or PCI Wood Mackenzie.
- ICE CT1 data sourced via Yahoo Finance, Barchart.com, or Investing.com.
Glossary
- CT1: ICE Cotton No. 2 futures
- WASDE: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
- CFTC: Commodity Futures Trading Commission
- PSF: Polyester Staple Fibre
- DXY: US Dollar Index
- ENSO: El Niño-Southern Oscillation
AI-Driven Cotton Intelligence Platform
Real-time market data, 365-day forecasts, and procurement intelligence for global textile mills
Intelligence That Moves Markets
A unified decision-support system built for cotton procurement teams — combining live global data, automated pipelines, and AI-driven forecasting to transform how you source.
Data-Driven Decisions
Consolidate 15+ live data pipelines — from ICE futures and USDA WASDE to CFTC positioning and Indian domestic arrivals — into a single intelligence dashboard that turns noise into clarity.
Data-Driven Decisions
Every data point is cross-referenced, cleaned, and contextualised in real time so your procurement team sees the full picture before committing capital.
Explore Platform→Automated Pipelines
Zero manual intervention. Automated ingestion from NOAA weather, Cotlook indices, DXY, WTI crude oil, PSF prices, and competing crop markets refreshes every trading day at market close.
Automated Pipelines
Fully automated ETL pipelines with built-in data quality checks, anomaly detection, and alerting ensure you never act on stale or corrupted signals.
Explore Platform→Predictive Accuracy
Prophet + LSTM ensemble model delivers a 365-day daily price forecast for ICE Cotton No. 2 with 80% and 95% confidence intervals, backtested across five years of market data.
Predictive Accuracy
Continuous model retraining and walk-forward validation ensure forecast accuracy adapts to evolving market regimes, from range-bound to trending environments.
Explore Platform→End-to-End Market Intelligence
A unified decision-support dashboard consolidating 15+ automated data pipelines into actionable cotton market insights — from field to futures.
- Supply FundamentalsUSDA WASDE, ICAC, and country-level production, consumption & ending stocks with month-on-month change tracking.
- Speculative PositioningCFTC Commitment of Traders data — net long/short ratios, managed money flows, and open interest trends on ICE CT1.
- Macro SignalsDXY, WTI crude, PSF pricing, and cross-commodity correlations that move cotton markets daily.
- Crop ConditionsNOAA GFS weather, USDA NASS crop progress, and India Kapas arrival data driving harvest-season intelligence.
Eight Intelligence Modules, One Platform
Every critical dimension of the cotton market — from price forecasting and supply fundamentals to Indian domestic intelligence and model performance — consolidated into a single decision-support dashboard.
Today's Price Forecast
- Daily ICE CT1 365-day price curve
- 80% and 95% confidence intervals
- Directional signal with magnitude estimate
Global Supply & Demand
- USDA WASDE country-level breakdowns
- Production, consumption & ending stocks
- Month-on-month change tracking
Crop Progress & Weather
- USDA NASS weekly crop condition ratings
- 15-day NOAA GFS weather overlays
- Planting & harvest progress by state
Trade & Positioning
- CFTC Commitment of Traders data
- Managed money net long/short positioning
- Open interest trend analysis
Macro Drivers
- DXY index & crude oil correlations
- WTI impact on PSF competitiveness
- Cross-asset momentum signals
India Cotton Intelligence
- Kapas arrivals & pressing estimates
- MCX futures & CAI spot price tracking
- Domestic S&D with MSP reference
Competing Crops
- Soybean, corn & rice acreage analysis
- USA & India planting decision models
- Price ratio tracking vs cotton economics
Backtest & Performance
- Walk-forward validation results
- MAPE, RMSE & directional accuracy
- Rolling 30/60/90-day error tracking
Automated Data Ingestion from 15+ Sources
Fully automated Airflow-orchestrated pipelines ingest ICE futures, USDA reports, CFTC positioning, NOAA weather, and Indian domestic data with zero manual intervention.
Intelligence Tailored to Every Role
From crop analysts to procurement leads, every team member gets the modules and data views purpose-built for their workflow.
The October–January Buying Window
The critical four-month window when Indian cotton arrivals peak and global supply fundamentals crystallize — the optimal period for procurement teams to secure positions.
India Crop Arrivals Begin
- New cotton marketing year starts — fresh Indian Kharif crop enters the market
- Early Kapas arrivals from Gujarat and Maharashtra set initial price benchmarks
Peak Arrival & WASDE Release
- Indian arrivals accelerate to peak levels — highest physical market liquidity
- USDA WASDE report reshapes global supply-demand outlook and ICE price direction
Arrivals Peak, US Crop Wraps
- Indian domestic arrivals hit seasonal maximum — mills actively book forward contracts
- US harvest complete — final ginning numbers firm up exportable surplus estimates
Pace Slows, Final Estimates
- Arrival pace decelerates — remaining uncommitted stocks become scarcer
- USDA publishes final crop estimates — model recalibrates 365-day forecast curve
Peak Buying Season for Indian Textile Mills
Our platform delivers daily forecast updates, arrival tracking, and WASDE-calibrated signals precisely when procurement decisions carry the highest impact on your annual cotton sourcing cost.
Ready to Transform Your Cotton Procurement?
Join leading textile mills leveraging AI-driven market intelligence. 365-day price forecasts, 15+ automated data pipelines, and real-time decision support — all in one platform.
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